UFC 134 Preview: The Prelims

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Welterweights
Paulo Thiago (13-3, 3-3 UFC) vs. David Mitchell (11-1, 0-1 UFC)

The Matchup: Thiago remains one of the toughest outs in the welterweight division, without being wildly talented enough to dominate. He is just resilient and savvy, and Mitchell faces a real test here coming off his UFC debut, where he was outpointed by Anthony Waldburger.

Thus far, Thiago has faced far better competition, with some meaningful signature wins over Mike Swick and Josh Koscheck. He also dropped competitive decisions to Martin Kampmann and Diego Sanchez in his last two outings. Thiago projects as a guy that could have a long career in the UFC without necessarily contending for a title, because he is a good measuring stick for rising talents.

It is hard to see anything in Mitchell’s game that would threaten Thiago. Thiago’s standup is better, and he is also superior on the ground. Mitchell has a tendency to pull guard -- a bad idea against a Brazilian jiu-jitsu standout like Thiago. This one probably goes to the mat, where Thiago, who has proven exceptionally relaxed when planted there, goes to work and wears down Mitchell.

The Pick: Thiago is simply a different class of fighter and should prove it readily, winning via submission in the second round.

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